Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024?
-13.3
4
23 comments
23
Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
3
26 comments
26
If a Republican announces that they will vote for impeachment, or votes for it, what will be the public support for impeachment at that time?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
7
16 comments
16
Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?
Resolved :
No
9
17 comments
17
On May 1st, what percentage of Americans will be "very worried" that they, someone in their family or someone else they know will become infected with the coronavirus?
Resolved :
31.2
6
6 comments
6
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many episodes of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast will be released in the run-up to the US 2020 presidential election?
Resolved :
44
14 comments
14
Academy Summer Series
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
9
21 comments
21
Will Biden drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?
Resolved :
No
11
37 comments
37
How will Trump's popular vote share compare to FiveThirtyEight's prediction?
Resolved :
1.78
12
28 comments
28
Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?
Resolved :
Yes
14
51 comments
51
Load more