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Nuclear Technology & Risks
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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
12
17 comments
17
Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?
4%
18
34 comments
34
Animal Welfare Series
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
35%
Estonia
28%
Poland
28%
9 others
9
7 comments
7
Who will be elected President of France in 2027?
Marine Le Pen
33.74%
Other
20.47%
รdouard Philippe
13.24%
6 others
18
53 comments
53
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
70%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
30%
Israel
25%
Pakistan
16%
5 others
6
8 comments
8
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
61%
10
31%
11
10%
4 others
4
12 comments
12
What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?
126
29
26 comments
26
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
20%
58
67 comments
67
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
5%
19
38 comments
38
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