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If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
No
Joe Biden (D)
Annulled
17 others
20
82 comments
82
Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?
50%
41 forecasters
9
4 comments
4
Will enough signatures be gathered to schedule a recall election for California Govenor Gavin Newsom?
Resolved :
Yes
189 forecasters
20
104 comments
104
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?
Resolved :
Yes
196 forecasters
26
86 comments
86
Who will win the 2021 California gubernatorial recall election if Newsom is recalled?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
41 forecasters
7
29 comments
29
Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
95 forecasters
3
12 comments
12
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris
Yes
Joe Biden
No
Gavin Newsom
No
13 others
62
584 comments
584
On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?
Resolved :
No
100 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?
2051
42.6%
2041
28%
2031
12.4%
5
1 comment
1
Who will the Governor of California appoint to replace Sen. Dianne Feinstein?
Laphonza Butler (D)
Yes
Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)
No
Mayor Karen Bass (D)
No
13 others
7
18 comments
18
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