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Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Contested
86%
Israel
13.1%
Hamas
0.6%
3 others
25
75 comments
75
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?
86%
156 forecasters
16
31 comments
31
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?
88%
65 forecasters
7
12 comments
12
When will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel?
2025-06-28
39 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
16%
62 forecasters
4
11 comments
11
Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?
Resolved :
No
65 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?
Resolved :
No
68 forecasters
8
5 comments
5
Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?
Resolved :
No
60 forecasters
8
3 comments
3
Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?
Resolved :
No
73 forecasters
6
19 comments
19
Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?
Resolved :
No
90 forecasters
8
69 comments
69
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