Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
353 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
By November 2nd, 2020, will the ten cities with the highest number of surveillance cameras per 1,000 people all be located in China?
Resolved :
No
138 forecasters
15
10 comments
10
Foresight 2020 Contest
LRT 2.4: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?
Resolved :
659
78 forecasters
4
33 comments
33
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Counterfactual LRT 2.5: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
52 forecasters
7 comments
7
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Will Russia recognize a breakaway state of any territories claimed by Ukraine by 2023?
15
18 comments
18
Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024?
Resolved :
No
436 forecasters
12
28 comments
28
Ukraine Conflict
Ukraine Conflict Update for Sunday, 2022-03-13
6
1 comment
1
Ukraine Conflict
Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14
13
1 comment
1
Ukraine Conflict
Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?
5%
51 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?
Resolved :
Yes
62 forecasters
7
18 comments
18
🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Load More