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When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?
2026-03-06
104 forecasters
19
30 comments
30
AI Demonstrations
In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?
Resolved :
Yes
131 forecasters
40
21 comments
21
AI Demonstrations
Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?
Resolved :
Yes
116 forecasters
47
32 comments
32
AI Demonstrations
Will Lee Sedol defeat AlphaGo in any of the three games remaining?
Resolved :
Yes
73 forecasters
20
18 comments
18
Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm?
Resolved :
No
69 forecasters
8
20 comments
20
AI Demonstrations
Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?
Resolved :
No
181 forecasters
10
19 comments
19
When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?
2028-04-24
16 forecasters
13
18 comments
18