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Will transformer derived architectures still be state of the art for language modeling in December 2025?
85%
61 forecasters
14
7 comments
7
AI Technical Benchmarks
Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?
Resolved :
No
57 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
Progress in why the universe is 3+1 dimensional?
Resolved :
No
90 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
How important are "time crystals"?
Resolved :
No
44 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Seeing single photons: more research to come?
Resolved :
Yes
28 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?
Resolved :
Yes
31 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
A resurgence in interest in modified gravity vs. dark matter?
Resolved :
No
37 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
How will recent claims of 234 SETI signals in SDSS data be treated by the community?
Resolved :
No
31 forecasters
9
2 comments
2
How much impact of quantum experiment exhibiting "exotic looped trajectories" of light?
Resolved :
7
33 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
How many geoengineering-related papers will be published in the year 2020?
Resolved :
4.47k
50 forecasters
4
16 comments
16
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