Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
1%
19
18 comments
18
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
5
93 comments
93
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?
Resolved :
8.59
5
4 comments
4
Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?
Resolved :
No
5
14 comments
14
In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?
Resolved :
No
11
11 comments
11
Animal Welfare Series
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?
9%
7
10 comments
10
Will certain marble statues removed from Greece in the early 19th century be moved back before 2024?
Resolved :
No
8
32 comments
32
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
66%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Spain-Portugal-Morocco
99%
Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco
1%
Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay
1%
2 others
3
6 comments
6
Load more