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Will 2016 be the warmest year on record?
Resolved:
Yes
90%
402 forecasters
55%
65%
75%
85%
95%
Jun 01
Jun 05
Jun 09
Jun 13
Jun 17
Jun 21
Jun 25
Jun 29
Jul 03
Jul 07
Jul 11
Jul 15
Jul 19
Jul 23
Jul 27
Jul 31
132
42 comments
42
Resolved
Jul 31, 2016
Will 2017 be the warmest year on record?
Resolved:
No
46%
234 forecasters
25%
50%
75%
Jun 01
Jun 05
Jun 09
Jun 13
Jun 17
Jun 21
Jun 25
Jun 29
Jul 03
Jul 07
Jul 11
Jul 15
Jul 19
Jul 23
Jul 27
Jul 31
46
11 comments
11
Resolved
Jul 31, 2017
Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?
Resolved:
No
33%
261 forecasters
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Jun 02
Jun 06
Jun 10
Jun 14
Jun 18
Jun 22
Jun 26
Jun 30
Jul 04
Jul 08
Jul 12
Jul 16
Jul 20
Jul 24
Jul 28
Aug 01
31
7 comments
7
Resolved
Aug 1, 2018
Will 2019 be the warmest year on record?
Resolved:
No
22%
232 forecasters
20%
40%
60%
Jun 02
Jun 06
Jun 10
Jun 14
Jun 18
Jun 22
Jun 26
Jun 30
Jul 04
Jul 08
Jul 12
Jul 16
Jul 20
Jul 24
Jul 28
Aug 01
32
30 comments
30
Resolved
Aug 1, 2019
How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?
Closed
1.29
34 forecasters
0.3
4
12 comments
12
Closed
Will global carbon emissions in 2020 be higher than they were in 2019?
Resolved:
No
1%
143 forecasters
0%
5%
10%
15%
Nov 01
Nov 05
Nov 09
Nov 13
Nov 17
Nov 21
Nov 25
Nov 29
Dec 03
Dec 07
Dec 11
Dec 15
Dec 19
Dec 23
Dec 27
Dec 31
15
13 comments
13
Resolved
Jan 1, 2021
Future Perfect 2020 Series
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?
Mar 2047
74 forecasters
Feb 2020
27
38 comments
38
Closes
Dec 18, 2099
Will 2020 be the warmest year on record?
Resolved:
Yes
25%
126 forecasters
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Oct 01
Oct 05
Oct 09
Oct 13
Oct 17
Oct 21
Oct 25
Oct 29
Nov 02
Nov 06
Nov 10
Nov 14
Nov 18
Nov 22
Nov 26
Nov 30
20
91 comments
91
Resolved
Nov 30, 2020
What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years?
2023
4.911391B t
2024
4.96B
2025
4.92B
4 others
1B
3.25B
5.5B
7.75B
10B
2024
2023
2040
2030
2035
2025
2045
11
7 comments
7
Closes
Jan 1, 2046
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?
62%
11 forecasters
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
Jan 31
Feb 04
Feb 08
Feb 12
Feb 16
Feb 20
Feb 24
Feb 28
Mar 04
Mar 08
Mar 12
Mar 16
Mar 20
Mar 24
Mar 28
5
1 comment
1
Closes
Dec 31, 2025
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