Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐บ๐ธ
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
81.1k
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?
2030
10.5%
2025
3%
2024
No
21
123 comments
123
Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela?
Resolved :
Yes
6
14 comments
14
๐ Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
63%
3
6 comments
6
If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?
20%
4
9 comments
9
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9