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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2035
35%
2030
25%
2025
1%
72
351 comments
351
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
34%
962 forecasters
106
200 comments
200
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification?
10 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)
25%
25%
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)
30%
30%
1
3 comments
3
The Taiwan Tinderbox