Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
53%
Kamala Harris
47%
Pete Buttigieg
0.1%
17 others
292
3.1k comments
3.1k
Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024?
Resolved :
No
8
10 comments
10
Verity
Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?
11%
15
21 comments
21
Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?
Resolved :
Yes
33
36 comments
36
Trump to get told "You're Fired!" ?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
-23
25 comments
25
Will Clinton pick Elizabeth Warren as VP?
Resolved :
No
4
3 comments
3
2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?
Resolved :
No
7
19 comments
19
Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?
Resolved :
No
9
6 comments
6
Will the second Clinton-Trump debate move the market in real time?
Resolved :
No
2
7 comments
7
Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?
Resolved :
Yes
8
8 comments
8
Load more