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2022 Resolutions: Predict with Public Figures
12
no comments
0
Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning?
Resolved :
Yes
136 forecasters
12
52 comments
52
Will Holden's Bet with Zvi about Omicron resolve ambiguously?
Resolved :
No
50 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
Phase transitions and AGI
15
5 comments
5
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?
59%
68 forecasters
13
3 comments
3
Future of AI
