Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2025?
1%
30 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
Will possible evidence for a new light particle be independently confirmed?
Resolved :
No
104 forecasters
11
7 comments
7
Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018?
Resolved :
No
53 forecasters
2
2 comments
2
Will no evidence for a new light (17 MeV) particle be independently published before 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
94 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
What will the maximum z-score be for Hungary for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?
Resolved :
16.1
26 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?
Resolved :
No
45 forecasters
11
11 comments
11
Animal Welfare Series
What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023?
Resolved :
1.51
31 forecasters
9
13 comments
13
What will be Hungary's children per woman in the year 2031?
1.64
41 forecasters
7
11 comments
11
Load More