Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
Will there be a terrorist attack in an OECD founding member state causing more than 3 deaths between November 3rd 2020 and up until March 1st 2021?
Resolved :
No
142 forecasters
5
93 comments
93
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Will the United Kingdom join the European Economic Area before 2040?
61%
51 forecasters
13
6 comments
6
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Albania
Jan 11, 2035
Serbia
Jan 11, 2035
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Jan 11, 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?
Resolved :
Annulled
1 forecaster
2 comments
2
When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
54 forecasters
5
13 comments
13
๐ Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest?
Switzerland
Yes
Croatia
No
Other
No
5 others
7
52 comments
52
๐ Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup ๐
Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024?
2
11 comments
11
Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024?
Croatia
Yes
Switzerland
Yes
Netherlands
Yes
28 others
17 comments
17
Load More