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If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
34%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?
1%
5
5 comments
5
AI Safety
LRT 1.3: As of Saturday May 9, 2020, how many COVID-19 related deaths will have occurred in Illinois?
Resolved :
3.35k
5
10 comments
10
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
When will Chicago CTA subway cars reopen for non-essential travel?
Resolved :
Jun 2, 2020
4
16 comments
16
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will the Chicago Symphony Orchestra have a public performance inside their concert hall?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
7
6 comments
6
When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states?
Missouri
Feb 24, 2024
Massachusetts
Jan 6, 2024
Florida
Jan 6, 2024
7 others
4
8 comments
8
FluSight Challenge 2023/24
What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Illinois for these periods?
Peak
577
December 9, 2023
202
March 2, 2024
331
1
4 comments
4
FluSight Challenge 2023/24
Announcing FluSight Challenge 2023/2024
9
6 comments
6
FluSight Challenge 2023/24