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Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025?
Level 3
25%
Level 2
3%
Level 1
1%
10
9 comments
9
Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?
No Restriction
80%
Civil Liability Laws
12%
Mandatory Disclosure Requirements
10%
4 others
10
37 comments
37
Regulation of AI
Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography
12
no comments
0
Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
39 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
White Hat Cyber
The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023?
Gas/Oil Pipeline
No
Aviation
No
Water Treatment
No
2 others
3
4 comments
4
White Hat Cyber
Will 85% of Chrome users have cookies deprecated before June 2026?
20%
15 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024?
Inflection
No
Meta
No
OpenAI
No
2 others
3
2 comments
2
Before 2026, how many US states will pass legislation regulating deepfakes?
32.4
6 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
