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Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
8%
15
17 comments
17
AI Safety
Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025?
OpenAI GPT-4, not optional
5%
Anthropic AI Claude, not optional
3%
GitHub Copilot, optional
1%
3 others
6
1 comment
1
Business of AI
When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?
P versus NP
Nov 9, 2073
Riemann hypothesis
Jun 27, 2058
YangโMills existence and mass gap
May 26, 2056
3 others
9
10 comments
10
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
95%
21
12 comments
12
AI Safety
Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?
10%
3
3 comments
3
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
78%
11
25 comments
25
When will >50% of users access Google over IPv6?
2025-01-19
6
12 comments
12
Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?
Resolved :
No
11
10 comments
10
Seeing single photons: more research to come?
Resolved :
Yes
7
13 comments
13
When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
25
17 comments
17
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