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Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
98.5%
≤3 nm
90%
≤2 nm
28.3%
10
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD
4%
Google
3%
Nvidia
2%
7
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?
3%
191 forecasters
23
23 comments
23
How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024?
Q3 (ends Sep 2024):
1.9M
7 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Chinese AI Chips
How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024?
Q1 (ends Mar 2024):
1.15B
7 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?
Resolved :
No
122 forecasters
14
11 comments
11
Will security patches against "Specter-NG" vulnerabilities be available for end-users by September 2018?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
68 forecasters
3
19 comments
19
condition
Will there be a Run on the Banks before 2031?
10 forecasters
if yes
if no
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
60%
60%
One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025
19%
19%
-1
no comments
0
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
13%
Amazon Web Services
10%
Microsoft Azure
8%
1 other
6
no comments
0
Chinese AI Chips