Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?
6.39
52 forecasters
13
27 comments
27
Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?
Resolved :
No
135 forecasters
9
24 comments
24
Global Pulse Tournament
Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?
Iran
Annulled
Lebanon
Annulled
Russia
Annulled
9 others
12
32 comments
32
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16 comments
16
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will the United States strike the Iranian military before February 7, 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
102 forecasters
9
22 comments
22
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆