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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?
Resolved :
No
6
7 comments
7
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.42k
11
20 comments
20
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
2045-11-22
4
6 comments
6
Verity
Explainable AI and Trust Issues
8
no comments
0
Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
7
no comments
0
Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
8%
11
36 comments
36
East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Uganda
No
Djibouti
No
Kenya
No
4 others
6
2 comments
2
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election?
Raila Odinga
No
William Ruto
Yes
David Waihiga Mwaure
No
1 other
6
36 comments
36
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
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