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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?
Resolved :
No
125 forecasters
6
7 comments
7
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.42k
57 forecasters
11
20 comments
20
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
2045-11-22
23 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
Verity
Explainable AI and Trust Issues
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
7
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
8%
64 forecasters
11
36 comments
36
East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Uganda
No
Djibouti
No
Kenya
No
4 others
6
2 comments
2
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election?
Raila Odinga
No
William Ruto
Yes
David Waihiga Mwaure
No
1 other
6
36 comments
36
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