Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?
Resolved :
No
862 forecasters
49
1k comments
1k
condition
Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024?
Resolved :
No
48 forecasters
if yes
if no
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
20%
20%
Resolved :
Annulled
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved :
No
6
no comments
0
Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates?
May 9, 2024
No
July 1, 2024
No
8
21 comments
21
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆