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Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?
17%
429 forecasters
47
80 comments
80
If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?
2040-08-02
11 forecasters
1
4 comments
4
Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?
8%
45 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?
2028-10-09
17 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?
59.3
9 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
What total mass (in tonnes) of space debris will be removed by active measures by 2040?
19.1
11 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome
8
1 comment
1
Metaculus Journal Archives
What will be the total quantity of space debris orbiting earth in each year?
2035:
Resolved :
Annulled
16 forecasters
9
16 comments
16
๐ฐ The Sagan Space Tournament ๐ฐ
What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?
1.06k
31 forecasters
7
no comments
0
๐ฐ The Sagan Space Tournament ๐ฐ
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
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