Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
5%
125 forecasters
10
4 comments
4
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
3%
166 forecasters
16
14 comments
14
When will Ukrainian ground forces enter Russia?
Resolved :
Annulled
123 forecasters
6
45 comments
45
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will Ukrainian military forces strike targets more than 10 kilometers inside Russian territory?
Resolved :
Dec 5, 2022
22 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Red Lines in Ukraine
If a Five Eyes nation attributes the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam to a specific nation before July 2024, to which nation will it be attributed?
Russia
Annulled
Ukraine
Annulled
12
34 comments
34