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Bridgewater 2025
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AI Benchmarking
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Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

4%
267 forecasters
0%5%10%15%Feb 01Feb 05Feb 09Feb 13Feb 17Feb 21Feb 25Mar 01Mar 05Mar 09Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29
37
57
Closes Jan 1, 2035

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

16%
374 forecasters
5%10%15%20%25%30%Feb 01Feb 05Feb 09Feb 13Feb 17Feb 21Feb 25Mar 01Mar 05Mar 09Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29
45
74
Closes Dec 31, 2029

Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?

Resolved:No40%
112 forecasters
20%30%40%50%60%70%Jul 15Jul 19Jul 23Jul 27Jul 31Aug 04Aug 08Aug 12Aug 16Aug 20Aug 24Aug 28Sep 01Sep 05Sep 09Sep 13
12
6
Resolved Sep 15, 2017

Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?

Resolved:-282.8
65 forecasters
-175
15
20
Resolved Dec 31, 2022

What will be the annual inflation in Latvia in 2022?

Resolved:20.820.5
15 forecasters
0
4
7
Resolved Jan 30, 2023

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

1%
73 forecasters
0%2.5%5%Feb 01Feb 05Feb 09Feb 13Feb 17Feb 21Feb 25Mar 01Mar 05Mar 09Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29
7
5
Closes Dec 31, 2030

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudan
Yes
Niger
68%
Democratic Republic of Congo
61.1%
52 others
50%55%60%65%70%75%Feb 01Feb 05Feb 09Feb 13Feb 17Feb 21Feb 25Mar 01Mar 05Mar 09Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29
34
210
Closes Dec 31, 2035

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
0

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