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What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?
51.6
50 forecasters
7
5 comments
5
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2022 publication of TOP500 list?
Resolved :
43.7
32 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?
Resolved :
1.1
35 forecasters
3
5 comments
5
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?
2035-10-20
29 forecasters
17
6 comments
6
What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be United States-based in the TOP500 list on the following dates?
November 2026:
32.4
102 forecasters
7 comments
7
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?
November 2026:
20.9
136 forecasters
4
28 comments
28
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?
2025:
3ร10ยนโธ
59 forecasters
7
19 comments
19
Forecasting Our World in Data