Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?
52%
5
2 comments
2
Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?
65%
21
19 comments
19
Will the Lithium-ion battery recycling market surpass $20 billion (current USD) before 2031?
65%
4
9 comments
9
What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?
2024:
37.5
6
10 comments
10
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?
2.82
3
no comments
0
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
60.5
3
2 comments
2
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
What is the expected (median) date of deuterium-tritium fusion operations for ITER in its new schedule (2024)?
Resolved :
Jun 30, 2039
2
11 comments
11