Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?
8%
233 forecasters
30
36 comments
36
When will congestion pricing go into effect in New York City?
2025-03-21
11 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?
40%
25 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?
Resolved :
No
58 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Will Uber be operating in London on Dec. 1?
Resolved :
Yes
49 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
How many homicides will there be in London in 2019?
Resolved :
149
43 forecasters
17 comments
17
By November 2nd, 2020, will the ten cities with the highest number of surveillance cameras per 1,000 people all be located in China?
Resolved :
No
138 forecasters
15
10 comments
10
Foresight 2020 Contest
How many active Airbnb listings will there be in London on the 1st of April of 2020?
Resolved :
58.3k
26 forecasters
2
12 comments
12
Will EA Global London 2020 be cancelled or rescheduled due to COVID-19?
Resolved :
Yes
43 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online?
Resolved :
Yes
49 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Load More