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Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
3%
166 forecasters
16
14 comments
14
Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?
Resolved :
No
75 forecasters
17
16 comments
16
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
509 forecasters
44
45 comments
45
Will Ukraine fulfill its Minsk-II obligations in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblast by 2023?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
147 forecasters
13
38 comments
38
Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
506 forecasters
19
23 comments
23
Ukraine Conflict
When will US or NATO forces conduct military operations in Ukraine or Ukraine's occupied regions?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
61 forecasters
9
8 comments
8
Red Lines in Ukraine
Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
US/NATO Ops in UA
Annulled
No US/NATO Ops in UA
No
4
10 comments
10
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
337 forecasters
20
90 comments
90
On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol?
Resolved :
No
183 forecasters
11
8 comments
8
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
condition
Wagner Group Controls Moscow by July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
33 forecasters
if yes
if no
Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024
33%
33%
Resolved :
Annulled
Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024
8%
8%
Resolved :
No
4
no comments
0
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