Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will congestion pricing go into effect in New York City?
2025-03-21
11 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?
Resolved :
No
92 forecasters
22
72 comments
72
How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?
111
9 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
228 forecasters
26
81 comments
81
condition
Trump guilty in Manhattan by Election Day
Resolved :
Yes
7 forecasters
if yes
if no
Trump Felony Conviction Before Election?
69%
69%
Resolved :
Yes
Trump Felony Conviction Before Election?
2%
2%
Resolved :
Annulled
2
no comments
0
Conditional Cup