Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Trump transfer presidential power to VP Mike Pence under section 3 of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before election day?
Resolved :
No
128 forecasters
11
26 comments
26
Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before election day?
Resolved :
No
113 forecasters
12
24 comments
24
When will the escaped Maryland Zebras be caught?
Resolved :
Dec 14, 2021
19 forecasters
6
8 comments
8
When will the Chesapeake Bay receive a grade of A- or higher from UMD's Eco Health Report Card?
2072-06-05
9 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
Will a Republican be elected governor of Maryland in 2022?
Resolved :
No
76 forecasters
2
24 comments
24
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30
When will Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge be rebuilt and open to traffic again?
2028-07-28
5 forecasters
4
5 comments
5