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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?
Resolved :
No
69 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
A major United States earthquake by 2023?
Resolved :
No
319 forecasters
36
65 comments
65
How much will international AI and ML course enrollment grow over the 2019-2020 period?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
42 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
17 forecasters
2
8 comments
8
Animal Welfare Series
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
81.1k
59 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
67 forecasters
6
34 comments
34
How many US southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the month of May?
Resolved :
180k
17 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
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