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How Many States Will Split the Senate-Presidential Ticket in the 2024 US Election?
4
Yes
2
No
1
No
5 others
2
10 comments
10
Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
31 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
173 forecasters
12
105 comments
105
What will be the US unemployment rate for March 2020?
Resolved :
4.4
77 forecasters
6
30 comments
30
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
94 forecasters
9
21 comments
21
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
202 forecasters
22
119 comments
119
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30
Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Resolved :
No
131 forecasters
18
8 comments
8
Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?
29.2%
7 forecasters
6
4 comments
4