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Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
99%
Alaska
98%
Ohio
97%
20 others
40
249 comments
249
Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?
1%
7
8 comments
8
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
34%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
9
30 comments
30
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
39.75%
Wisconsin
17.31%
Michigan
13.28%
10 others
7
36 comments
36
Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
5
3 comments
3
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
12
105 comments
105
What will be the US unemployment rate for March 2020?
Resolved :
4.4
6
30 comments
30
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
9
21 comments
21
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
22
119 comments
119
In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?
3%
9
6 comments
6
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