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How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

7

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

109 forecasters

16

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

102 forecasters

9

Biosecurity Tournament

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae

Other 24 known HIVF

19

Biosecurity Tournament

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

296 forecasters

40

Biosecurity Tournament

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

9

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

145 forecasters

13

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

9

For how many of the 26 human-infecting virus families will there be at least one licensed vaccine before 2032?

3

Biosecurity Tournament

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

114 forecasters

16

Biosecurity Tournament