Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will the Windows 10 desktop market share be surpassed by another Windows version?
2026-05-13
9 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
When will Microsoft release Windows 12?
2025-10-12
9 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
When will Overwatch 2 be released?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
22 forecasters
-2
10 comments
10
When will Windows 11 market share exceed Windows 10’s according to the Steam Hardware and Software Survey?
Resolved :
Annulled
28 forecasters
7
11 comments
11
What rating will Bethesda's video game Starfield have on Steam two weeks after release?
Resolved :
76
52 forecasters
5
26 comments
26
What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
The case is settled
53.59%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win
27%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million
10.38%
2 others
15
21 comments
21