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Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?

112 forecasters

9

When will 150 million Americans be vaccinated against COVID-19?

Resolved :Jun 18, 2021

11

When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?

Resolved :Nov 22, 2021

247 forecasters

68

124 comments124

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?

124 forecasters

15

Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?

127 forecasters

25

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

124 forecasters

23

What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if greater than or equal to 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?

Resolved :Ambiguous

8

What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?

5

What will be the absolute efficacy of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

5

What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-02-28?

Resolved :49.8M

6