Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Spain-Portugal-Morocco
99%
Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco
1%
Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay
1%
2 others
3
8 comments
8
Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?
2%
19
38 comments
38
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?
58%
4
9 comments
9
Verity
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will Morocco recognize Western Sahara?
2120-01-02
2
3 comments
3
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?
60%
6
21 comments
21
Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
Argentina
Yes
France
No
Brazil
No
29 others
33
185 comments
185
West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Benin
No
Ghana
No
Togo
No
8 others
6
11 comments
11
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup?
England
No
Spain
Yes
United States
No
29 others
8
20 comments
20
Load more