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In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?
Resolved :
49
59 forecasters
8
27 comments
27
Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
113 forecasters
3
26 comments
26
Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?
Resolved :
Yes
38 forecasters
2
10 comments
10
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
173 forecasters
12
105 comments
105
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
94 forecasters
9
21 comments
21
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
10
30 comments
30
2024 Election Hub Update
20
5 comments
5
Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?
29.2%
7 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
