MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

11

By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?

6

Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?

2

First human head transplant in 2017?

131 forecasters

7

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

9

Pandemic Series (2018)

Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation?

113 forecasters

21

New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?

10

Will an NFL player die during a game during the 2018-2019 season?

1

Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will we see evidence that Piracetam is a more effective Alzheimer's treatment than Memantine by 2021?

9

What will the community average log-score be after the 500th question?

Resolved :0.155

5