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Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

353 forecasters

37

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025?

6

Will the New START nuclear arms control agreement be extended or replaced by its expiration on February 5th 2021?

13

Will the New START nuclear arms control agreement be renewed until at least February 5, 2027?

4

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Conditional on New START not being renewed or replaced by another similar treaty after February 2026, will there be a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US by 2035?

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Conditional on New START being renewed or replaced by another similar treaty after February 2026, will there be a nuclear exchange between Russia and the US by 2035?

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

8

Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?

255 forecasters

5

Ukraine Conflict