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By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

27

Playing God Series

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

9

Pandemic Series (2018)

Parasites in mosquitos to prevent viruses in mosquitos: deployed in 2017?

Resolved :Ambiguous

1

Pandemic Series (2018)

By the end of 2019 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

8

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

12

In the year 2020, will no gene drive be launched to fight malaria-carrying mosquitoes in any part of the world?

105 forecasters

10

Future Perfect 2020 Series

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

15

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

7

Metaculus Journal Archives

When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?

Resolved :Oct 2, 2023

13

Biosecurity Tournament

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

5

Forecasting Our World in Data