Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many years will caloric restriction be demonstrated to add to one's natural lifespan?
3.11
45 forecasters
16
9 comments
9
How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?
Resolved :
21.4
65 forecasters
31
17 comments
17
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
51%
58 forecasters
18
38 comments
38
What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?
57.1
12 forecasters
7
2 comments
2
Will the ban on imports of Apple watches with blood oxygen sensors take effect before December 27, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
43 forecasters
1
6 comments
6
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?
2034-03-10
2 forecasters
1
10 comments
10