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What will be the average preparation time (in days) of environmental impact statements completed in 2025?
1.53k
16 forecasters
1
4 comments
4
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
56%
58 forecasters
4
8 comments
8
Regulation of AI
How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
5.73
25 forecasters
20
4 comments
4
What percentage of countries which pledge carbon neutrality by 2050 will keep their pledge?
44.2
22 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
What will be the capacity factor of US nuclear energy by 2022?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
22 forecasters
7
6 comments
6
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?
2041-02-18
19 forecasters
14
2 comments
2
What percent of China-based threat actors' reported targets will be critical infrastructure entities in 2022?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
45 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
White Hat Cyber
Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?
30%
80 forecasters
11
22 comments
22
Verity
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
83.3%
46 forecasters
6
no comments
0
Regulation of AI
Will 85% of Chrome users have cookies deprecated before June 2026?
20%
15 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
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