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Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5

Ragnarök Series

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

525 forecasters

123

Playing God Series

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

9

Pandemic Series (2018)

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

20

When will Trikafta become available for Cystic Fibrosis patients on the NHS (England)?

Resolved :Aug 21, 2020

3

When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?

9

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

18

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

6

Biosecurity Tournament

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

5

Forecasting Our World in Data

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

13