Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
26 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
2%
2%
US Iran War Before 2025?
1%
1%
3
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
US invades and attempts a regime change in Iran in 2020?
Resolved :
No
190 forecasters
18
36 comments
36
Future Perfect 2020 Series
Will there be a US-Iran war in 2020?
Resolved :
No
265 forecasters
35
67 comments
67
condition
Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024?
Resolved :
No
30 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
8%
8%
Resolved :
Annulled
US Iran War Before 2025?
1%
1%
7
2 comments
2
Conditional Cup