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Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?

4

Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?

Resolved :Ambiguous

9

Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election?

22

138 comments138

Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election?

K. Starmer (Labour)

W. Streeting (Labour)

A. Burham (Labour)

8

What will inflation in the UK be, given Rishi Sunak wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?

4

What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Rishi Sunak wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?

5

Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?

19

On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK?

153 forecasters

8

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

Will there be more than 10 ministerial resignations in Rishi Sunak’s government before 2024?

2

When will the next UK general election take place?

Resolved :Jul 4, 2024

11