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Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania?
Resolved :
No
53 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.42k
57 forecasters
11
20 comments
20
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
8%
64 forecasters
11
36 comments
36
East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Uganda
No
Djibouti
No
Kenya
No
4 others
6
2 comments
2
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?
23.7%
14 forecasters
3
17 comments
17
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal Archives
Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Rwanda?
Paul Kagame
Yes
Frank Habineza
No
Another outcome
No
2
6 comments
6
2024 International Elections Hub
