Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
0.1%
308 forecasters
21
18 comments
18
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
15%
373 forecasters
43
74 comments
74
Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?
Resolved :
No
105 forecasters
18
42 comments
42
Animal Welfare Series
In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?
Resolved :
No
45 forecasters
11
11 comments
11
Animal Welfare Series
If the EU bans all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens, what date will be set as the phase out deadline?
2035-03-28
17 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
Animal Welfare Series
Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
200 forecasters
13
31 comments
31
Verity
Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries?
Resolved :
Yes
717 forecasters
29
106 comments
106
Ukraine Conflict
How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
18 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
198 forecasters
4
12 comments
12
Ukraine Conflict
Load More