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Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?
3%
27 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?
15%
28 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
2045-11-22
23 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
Verity
Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Somaliland?
A Waddani Party candidate
Yes
Muse Bihi Abdi
No
A Justice and Welfare Party candidate
No
2 others
4
7 comments
7
2024 International Elections Hub