Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Richard Branson fail to go to space on July 20th 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
80 forecasters
5
16 comments
16
What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?
26 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
How many people will fly to space for the first time in the 2020's?
619
22 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time?
2025:
57.5
33 forecasters
9
10 comments
10
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the median cost of a visit to space for a private citizen?
2025:
23M
41 forecasters
13
16 comments
16
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰